UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang — Bruce Whitehead vs Jacobe Smith
Welterweight · October 3, 2026
Win probability
Bruce Whitehead wins: 50%
Jacobe Smith wins: 50%
Most likely outcome: Bruce Whitehead KO/TKO (17%)
90% confidence intervals
Bruce Whitehead: 0% – 300%
Jacobe Smith: 0% – 300%
Detailed outcome probabilities
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bruce Whitehead wins by KO/TKO | 17% |
| Bruce Whitehead wins by Submission | 17% |
| Bruce Whitehead wins by Decision | 17% |
| Jacobe Smith wins by Decision | 17% |
| Jacobe Smith wins by KO/TKO | 17% |
| Jacobe Smith wins by Submission | 17% |
Matchup feature breakdown
Positive values favor Bruce Whitehead (Corner A); negative values favor Jacobe Smith (Corner B).
| Feature | Value (A − B) |
|---|---|
| ELO differential (strength gap at fight time) | 0.000 |
| Striker score difference | 0.000 |
| Grappler score difference | 0.000 |
| Finish threat difference | 0.000 |
| Finish vulnerability difference | 0.000 |
| Striking matchup interaction | 0.000 |
| Grappling matchup interaction | 0.000 |
| Finish matchup interaction | 0.000 |
| Reach difference (cm) | 0.000 |
| Height difference (cm) | 0.000 |
| Stance matchup | 0.000 |
| Age difference (days) | 0.000 |