Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 6 — Akbar Abdullaev vs Ednilson Santos
Lightweight · September 15, 2026
Win probability
Akbar Abdullaev wins: 50%
Ednilson Santos wins: 50%
Most likely outcome: Akbar Abdullaev KO/TKO (17%)
90% confidence intervals
Akbar Abdullaev: 0% – 300%
Ednilson Santos: 0% – 300%
Detailed outcome probabilities
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Akbar Abdullaev wins by KO/TKO | 17% |
| Akbar Abdullaev wins by Submission | 17% |
| Akbar Abdullaev wins by Decision | 17% |
| Ednilson Santos wins by Decision | 17% |
| Ednilson Santos wins by Submission | 17% |
| Ednilson Santos wins by KO/TKO | 17% |
Matchup feature breakdown
Positive values favor Akbar Abdullaev (Corner A); negative values favor Ednilson Santos (Corner B).
| Feature | Value (A − B) |
|---|---|
| ELO differential (strength gap at fight time) | 0.000 |
| Striker score difference | 0.000 |
| Grappler score difference | 0.000 |
| Finish threat difference | 0.000 |
| Finish vulnerability difference | 0.000 |
| Striking matchup interaction | 0.000 |
| Grappling matchup interaction | 0.000 |
| Finish matchup interaction | 0.000 |
| Reach difference (cm) | 0.000 |
| Height difference (cm) | 0.000 |
| Stance matchup | 0.000 |
| Age difference (days) | 0.000 |