UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo — Zhu Kangjie vs Ramon Taveras
Featherweight · May 30, 2026
Win probability
Zhu Kangjie wins: 50%
Ramon Taveras wins: 50%
Most likely outcome: Zhu Kangjie KO/TKO (17%)
90% confidence intervals
Zhu Kangjie: 0% – 300%
Ramon Taveras: 0% – 300%
Detailed outcome probabilities
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Zhu Kangjie wins by KO/TKO | 17% |
| Zhu Kangjie wins by Submission | 17% |
| Zhu Kangjie wins by Decision | 17% |
| Ramon Taveras wins by Decision | 17% |
| Ramon Taveras wins by Submission | 17% |
| Ramon Taveras wins by KO/TKO | 17% |
Matchup feature breakdown
Positive values favor Zhu Kangjie (Corner A); negative values favor Ramon Taveras (Corner B).
| Feature | Value (A − B) |
|---|---|
| ELO differential (strength gap at fight time) | 0.000 |
| Striker score difference | 0.000 |
| Grappler score difference | 0.000 |
| Finish threat difference | 0.000 |
| Finish vulnerability difference | 0.000 |
| Striking matchup interaction | 0.000 |
| Grappling matchup interaction | 0.000 |
| Finish matchup interaction | 0.000 |
| Reach difference (cm) | 0.000 |
| Height difference (cm) | 0.000 |
| Stance matchup | 0.000 |
| Age difference (days) | 0.000 |