UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo — Angela Hill vs Xiong Jingnan
Women's Strawweight · May 30, 2026
Win probability
Angela Hill wins: 50%
Xiong Jingnan wins: 50%
Most likely outcome: Angela Hill KO/TKO (17%)
90% confidence intervals
Angela Hill: 0% – 300%
Xiong Jingnan: 0% – 300%
Detailed outcome probabilities
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Angela Hill wins by KO/TKO | 17% |
| Angela Hill wins by Submission | 17% |
| Angela Hill wins by Decision | 17% |
| Xiong Jingnan wins by Decision | 17% |
| Xiong Jingnan wins by Submission | 17% |
| Xiong Jingnan wins by KO/TKO | 17% |
Matchup feature breakdown
Positive values favor Angela Hill (Corner A); negative values favor Xiong Jingnan (Corner B).
| Feature | Value (A − B) |
|---|---|
| ELO differential (strength gap at fight time) | 0.000 |
| Striker score difference | 0.000 |
| Grappler score difference | 0.000 |
| Finish threat difference | 0.000 |
| Finish vulnerability difference | 0.000 |
| Striking matchup interaction | 0.000 |
| Grappling matchup interaction | 0.000 |
| Finish matchup interaction | 0.000 |
| Reach difference (cm) | 0.000 |
| Height difference (cm) | 0.000 |
| Stance matchup | 0.000 |
| Age difference (days) | 0.000 |